North Melbourne vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2026
Last updated: Apr 7, 2026, 2:44PM | Published: Apr 6, 2026, 6:31AM
North Melbourne will take on the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 5 action at Barossa Park on Saturday, beginning at 12:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's North Melbourne vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions an 81% chance of winning against the Kangaroos at Barossa Park.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Barossa Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $5.75, Brisbane $1.14
- Line: North Melbourne +34.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -34.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 188.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has North Melbourne at $5.75 and Brisbane at $1.14.
The Kangaroos are listed as 34.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-34.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 188.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Kangaroos (+34.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 188.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: North Melbourne at $5.75 with Bet365
- Line: N Melbourne +34.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 188.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Our North Melbourne vs Brisbane betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our recommended option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Brisbane at Barossa Park this Saturday is Brisbane winning 108-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the North Melbourne vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the North Melbourne vs Brisbane game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Kangaroos and Lions at Barossa Park is scheduled to commence at 12:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 11 April 2026
- Time: 12:35pm AEST
- Venue: Barossa Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our North Melbourne vs Brisbane predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
