North Melbourne vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2026
Last updated: Apr 11, 2026, 2:35AM | Published: Apr 6, 2026, 6:31AM
North Melbourne will face the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 5 action at Barossa Park on Saturday, commencing at 12:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the North Melbourne vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's North Melbourne vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions an 83% chance of defeating the Kangaroos at Barossa Park.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Barossa Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: North Melbourne $7.00, Brisbane $1.10
- Line: North Melbourne +39.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -39.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 183.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has North Melbourne at $7.00 and Brisbane at $1.10.
The Kangaroos are 39.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-39.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 183.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Kangaroos (+39.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 183.5-point over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: North Melbourne at $7.00 with Bet365
- Line: N Melbourne +39.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 183.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Today's North Melbourne vs Brisbane betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our preferred option because of the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for North Melbourne vs Brisbane at Barossa Park this Saturday is Brisbane winning 109-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the North Melbourne vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the North Melbourne vs Brisbane match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
North Melbourne vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Kangaroos and Lions at Barossa Park is scheduled to start at 12:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: North Melbourne vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 11 April 2026
- Time: 12:35pm AEST
- Venue: Barossa Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our North Melbourne vs Brisbane predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
