NBA Betting Tips Today [Wednesday 22/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 22, 2023, 4:32AM | Published: Nov 21, 2023, 5:03AM
The best NBA betting tips for Thursday's action have been revealed.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of each one of Thursday's NBA matches to produce reliable probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters across Australia.
All of the suggested bets for Thursday's NBA come directly from the renowned NBA Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Thursday [23/11]
After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our leading computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Thursday November 23, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Magic vs Nuggets and Cavaliers vs Heat, with our advanced predictive model carefully striving to detect valuable edges.
Nuggets H2H vs Magic ($1.45)
- Odds: $1.45 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.52
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 65.8%
- Match: Magic vs Nuggets (Thursday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the matchup between the Magic and Nuggets. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Nuggets to win, currently offered at odds of $1.45 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 5.7% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Heat H2H vs Cavaliers ($1.62)
- Odds: $1.62 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.70
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 58.7%
- Matchup: Cavaliers vs Heat (Thursday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Cavaliers and Heat. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Heat to win, available at $1.62 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 5.4% for this particular bet.
Hornets vs Wizards Over 242.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.81
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: Hornets vs Wizards (Thursday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Hornets and Wizards. The play here is an over/under bet, with Over 242.5 Points at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 5.1% for this particular wager.
Jazz H2H vs Trail Blazers ($1.42)
- Odds: $1.42 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.47
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 67.8%
- Match: Trail Blazers vs Jazz (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our next edge stems from the game between the Trail Blazers and Jazz. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Jazz to win, currently available at $1.42 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 5.1% edge for this particular bet.
Kings H2H vs Pelicans ($1.79)
- Odds: $1.79 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.72
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Pelicans vs. Kings (Thursday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Pelicans vs. Kings game. Our model has its eyes on Kings to win, coming in at $1.79 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, punters are getting a tasty 4.7% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Thursday 23/11
- Magic vs Nuggets: Nuggets to win ($1.45 at TAB, 5.7% edge)
- Cavaliers vs Heat: Heat to win ($1.62 at TAB, 5.4% edge)
- Hornets vs Wizards: Over 242.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 5.1% edge)
- Trail Blazers vs Jazz: Jazz to win ($1.42 at TAB, 5.1% edge)
- Pelicans vs Kings: Kings to win ($1.79 at TAB, 4.7% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [November 23, 2023]
- Wizards vs Hornets (Thursday, 11:00AM)
- Nuggets vs Magic (Thursday, 11:00AM)
- Nets vs Hawks (Thursday, 11:30AM)
- Bucks vs Celtics (Thursday, 11:30AM)
- Raptors vs Pacers (Thursday, 11:30AM)
- Heat vs Cavaliers (Thursday, 11:30AM)
- Clippers vs Spurs (Thursday, 12:00PM)
- Kings vs Pelicans (Thursday, 12:00PM)
- 76ers vs Timberwolves (Thursday, 12:00PM)
- Grizzlies vs Rockets (Thursday, 12:00PM)
- Bulls vs Thunder (Thursday, 12:00PM)
- Warriors vs Suns (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Jazz vs Trail Blazers (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Mavericks vs Lakers (Thursday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [23/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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