NBA Betting Tips Today [Tuesday 21/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 21, 2023, 3:32AM | Published: Nov 20, 2023, 5:03AM
The best NBA betting tips for Wednesday's action have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate each one of Wednesday's NBA matches 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters all over the country.
All of the recommended bets for Wednesday's NBA come directly from the popular NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Wednesday [22/11]
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our leading computer model has found the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Wednesday November 22, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Hawks vs Pacers and Suns vs Trail Blazers, with our advanced predictive model working its magic to detect valuable edges.
Hawks vs Pacers Under 250.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.75
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Match: Hawks vs Pacers (Wednesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the match between the Hawks and Pacers. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 250.5 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 7.1% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Trail Blazers +12.5 vs Suns ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.81
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: Suns vs Trail Blazers (Wednesday, 1:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Suns and Trail Blazers. We recommend considering a line wager on Trail Blazers +12.5, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 5.1% for this particular bet.
Magic H2H vs Raptors ($1.87)
- Odds: $1.87 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.81
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 55.1%
- Matchup: Magic vs Raptors (Wednesday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Magic and Raptors. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Magic to win at enticing odds of $1.87 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 4.0% for this particular wager.
Lakers vs Jazz Under 236 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.86
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Match: Lakers vs Jazz (Wednesday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our next edge stems from the game between the Lakers and Jazz. The play here is an over/under bet on the Under 236 Points, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 3.7% edge for this particular bet.
Hawks H2H vs Pacers ($1.60)
- Odds: $1.60 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.59
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 63%
- Matchup: Hawks vs. Pacers (Wednesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Hawks vs. Pacers matchup. Our model has its eyes on Hawthorn to win, coming in at $1.60 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 3.4% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Wednesday 22/11
- Hawks vs Pacers: Under 250.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 7.1% edge)
- Suns vs Trail Blazers: Trail Blazers +12.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 5.1% edge)
- Magic vs Raptors: Magic to win ($1.87 at TAB, 4.0% edge)
- Lakers vs Jazz: Under 236 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 3.7% edge)
- Hawks vs Pacers: Hawks to win ($1.60 at TAB, 3.4% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [November 22, 2023]
- Raptors vs Magic (Wednesday, 11:00AM)
- Cavaliers vs 76ers (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Pacers vs Hawks (Wednesday, 11:30AM)
- Trail Blazers vs Suns (Wednesday, 1:00PM)
- Jazz vs Lakers (Wednesday, 2:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model believes are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [22/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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