NBA Betting Tips Today [Thursday 23/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 23, 2023, 2:00AM | Published: Nov 22, 2023, 5:03AM
The best NBA betting tips for Friday's action have been unveiled.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of every one of Friday's NBA matches to produce accurate probabilities, which we then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters across the nation.
All of our suggested bets for Friday's NBA come directly from the renowned NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Thursday [24/11]
After crunching the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our leading computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make in Australia on Friday November 24, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature multiple bets from the Lakers vs Mavericks game, with our advanced predictive model carefully striving to detect valuable edges.
Lakers vs Mavericks Under 241 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.86
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Match: Lakers vs Mavericks (Thursday, 2:30PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Lakers and Mavericks. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 241 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 3.8% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Mavericks H2H vs Lakers ($1.71)
- Odds: $1.71 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.68
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Matchup: Lakers vs Mavericks (Thursday, 2:30PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, again in the matchup featuring the Lakers and Mavericks. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Mavericks to win, available at $1.71 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 3.2% for this particular bet.
Jazz H2H vs Trail Blazers ($1.70)
- Odds: $1.70 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.70
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Matchup: Trail Blazers vs Jazz (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Trail Blazers and Jazz. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Jazz to win at enticing odds of $1.70 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 2.5% for this particular wager.
Warriors +2.5 vs Suns ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.91
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 52.4%
- Match: Suns vs Warriors (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our next betting tip stems from the game between the Suns and Warriors. The play here is a line bet on the Warriors +2.5, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 2.4% edge for this particular bet.
NBA Best Bets for Friday 24/11
- Lakers vs Mavericks: Under 241 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 3.8% edge)
- Lakers vs Mavericks: Mavericks to win ($1.71 at TAB, 3.2% edge)
- Trail Blazers vs Jazz: Jazz to win ($1.70 at TAB, 2.5% edge)
- Suns vs Warriors: Warriors +2.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 2.4% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Now [November 24, 2023]
- Warriors vs Suns (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Jazz vs Trail Blazers (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Mavericks vs Lakers (Thursday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [24/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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