NBA Betting Tips Today [Thursday 09/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 9, 2023, 1:01AM | Published: Nov 8, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Friday's action have been unveiled.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has run 10,000 simulations of every one of Friday's NBA games to produce accurate probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters all over the country.
All of our suggested bets for Friday's NBA come straight from the renowned NBA Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Thursday [10/11]
After crunching the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our leading computer model has found the best basketball bets to make in Australia on Friday November 10, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by Mavericks vs Raptors and Kings vs Trail Blazers, with our advanced predictive model carefully aiming to detect valuable edges.
Mavericks H2H vs Raptors ($1.55)
- Odds: $1.55 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.50
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 66.8%
- Match: Mavericks vs Raptors (Thursday, 12:30PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Mavericks and Raptors. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Mavericks to win, currently offered at odds of $1.55 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 5.0% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Trail Blazers +8 vs Kings ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.85
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 54%
- Matchup: Kings vs Trail Blazers (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Kings and Trail Blazers. We recommend considering a line wager on Trail Blazers +8, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 4.0% for this particular bet.
Nuggets H2H vs Warriors ($1.63)
- Odds: $1.63 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.62
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 61.7%
- Matchup: Nuggets vs Warriors (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Nuggets and Warriors. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Nuggets to win at enticing odds of $1.63 through TAB. Our model has found an advantageous edge of 2.8% for this particular wager.
NBA Best Bets for Friday 10/11
- Mavericks vs Raptors: Mavericks to win ($1.55 at TAB, 5.0% edge)
- Kings vs Trail Blazers: Trail Blazers +8 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.0% edge)
- Nuggets vs Warriors: Nuggets to win ($1.63 at TAB, 2.8% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [November 10, 2023]
- Raptors vs Mavericks (Thursday, 12:30PM)
- Warriors vs Nuggets (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Trail Blazers vs Kings (Thursday, 2:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [10/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
