NBA Betting Tips Today [Thursday 07/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 7, 2023, 2:32AM | Published: Dec 6, 2023, 5:01AM
The best NBA betting tips for Friday's action have been revealed.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has conducted 10,000 simulations of every one of Friday's NBA matches to generate accurate probabilities, which we then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters all over Australia.
All of our recommended bets for Friday's NBA come directly from the popular NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Friday [08/12]
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our independent computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Friday December 8, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Bucks vs Pacers and Clippers vs Nuggets, with our advanced predictive model carefully striving to detect valuable edges.
Bucks vs Pacers Under 254.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.69
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 59.3%
- Match: Bucks vs Pacers (Friday, 9:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Bucks and Pacers. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 254.5 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 9.3% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Nuggets H2H vs Clippers ($1.86)
- Odds: $1.86 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.75
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 57.3%
- Matchup: Clippers vs Nuggets (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Clippers and Nuggets. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Nuggets to win, available at $1.86 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 5.9% for this particular bet.
Trail Blazers +12.5 vs Warriors ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.83
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Matchup: Warriors vs Trail Blazers (Thursday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Warriors and Trail Blazers. The play here is a line bet, with Trail Blazers +12.5 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 4.6% for this particular wager.
Lakers vs Pelicans Under 229.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.87
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 53.5%
- Match: Lakers vs Pelicans (Friday, 1:00PM AEDT)
Our next best bet stems from the game between the Lakers and Pelicans. The play here is an over/under bet on the Under 229.5 Points, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 3.5% edge for this particular bet.
Lakers H2H vs Pelicans ($1.82)
- Odds: $1.82 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.80
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Matchup: Lakers vs. Pelicans (Friday, 1:00PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Lakers vs. Pelicans game. Our model has its eyes on Lakers to win, coming in at $1.82 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 3.2% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Friday 08/12
- Bucks vs Pacers: Under 254.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 9.3% edge)
- Clippers vs Nuggets: Nuggets to win ($1.86 at TAB, 5.9% edge)
- Warriors vs Trail Blazers: Trail Blazers +12.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.6% edge)
- Lakers vs Pelicans: Under 229.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 3.5% edge)
- Lakers vs Pelicans: Lakers to win ($1.82 at TAB, 3.2% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [December 8, 2023]
- Trail Blazers vs Warriors (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Nuggets vs Clippers (Thursday, 2:00PM)
- Pacers vs Bucks (Friday, 9:00AM)
- Pelicans vs Lakers (Friday, 1:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [08/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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