NBA Betting Tips Today [Sunday 12/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 11, 2023, 11:31PM | Published: Nov 11, 2023, 5:03AM
The best NBA betting tips for Monday's action have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our reliable computer model to simulate every one of Monday's NBA matches 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters across Australia.
All of our suggested bets for Monday's NBA come directly from the popular NBA Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Sunday [13/11]
After crunching the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our independent computer model has found the best basketball bets to make in Australia on Monday November 13, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Warriors vs Cavaliers and Hawks vs Heat, with our advanced predictive model carefully aiming to detect valuable edges.
Warriors H2H vs Cavaliers ($1.58)
- Odds: $1.58 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.56
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 63.9%
- Match: Warriors vs Cavaliers (Sunday, 12:30PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Warriors and Cavaliers. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Warriors to win, currently offered at odds of $1.58 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 3.1% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Heat +7 vs Hawks ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.89
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 52.8%
- Matchup: Hawks vs Heat (Sunday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Hawks and Heat. We recommend considering a line wager on Heat +7, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 2.8% for this particular bet.
Raptors +9 vs Celtics ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.92
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Celtics vs Raptors (Sunday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Celtics and Raptors. The play here is a line bet, with Raptors +9 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 2.2% for this particular wager.
NBA Best Bets for Monday 13/11
- Warriors vs Cavaliers: Warriors to win ($1.58 at TAB, 3.1% edge)
- Hawks vs Heat: Heat +7 ($1.91 at TAB, 2.8% edge)
- Celtics vs Raptors: Raptors +9 ($1.91 at TAB, 2.2% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Now [November 13, 2023]
- Raptors vs Celtics (Sunday, 11:00AM)
- Heat vs Hawks (Sunday, 11:30AM)
- Cavaliers vs Warriors (Sunday, 12:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [13/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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