NBA Betting Tips Today [Sunday 03/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 3, 2023, 2:02AM | Published: Dec 2, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Monday's action have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our trusted computer model to simulate every one of Monday's NBA matches 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters across the country.
All of our recommended bets for Monday's NBA come straight from the popular NBA Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Sunday [04/12]
After crunching the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our leading computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Monday December 4, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by Lakers vs Rockets and Kings vs Nuggets, with our advanced predictive model carefully striving to detect valuable edges.
Lakers H2H vs Rockets ($1.51)
- Odds: $1.51 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.47
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 67.9%
- Match: Lakers vs Rockets (Sunday, 2:30PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the matchup between the Lakers and Rockets. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Lakers to win, currently offered at odds of $1.51 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 4.6% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Kings H2H vs Nuggets ($1.62)
- Odds: $1.62 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.58
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 63.4%
- Matchup: Kings vs Nuggets (Sunday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Kings and Nuggets. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Kings to win, available at $1.62 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 4.0% for this particular bet.
Jazz H2H vs Trail Blazers ($1.81)
- Odds: $1.81 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.76
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Matchup: Jazz vs Trail Blazers (Sunday, 1:30PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Jazz and Trail Blazers. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Jazz to win at enticing odds of $1.81 through TAB. Our model has found an advantageous edge of 3.9% for this particular wager.
NBA Best Bets for Monday 04/12
- Lakers vs Rockets: Lakers to win ($1.51 at TAB, 4.6% edge)
- Kings vs Nuggets: Kings to win ($1.62 at TAB, 4.0% edge)
- Jazz vs Trail Blazers: Jazz to win ($1.81 at TAB, 3.9% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [December 4, 2023]
- Trail Blazers vs Jazz (Sunday, 1:30PM)
- Nuggets vs Kings (Sunday, 2:00PM)
- Rockets vs Lakers (Sunday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [04/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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