NBA Betting Tips Today [Saturday 25/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 25, 2023, 4:31AM | Published: Nov 24, 2023, 5:03AM
The best NBA betting tips for Sunday's action have been released.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has run 10,000 simulations of every one of Sunday's NBA games to generate reliable probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters across the country.
All of our recommended bets for Sunday's NBA come directly from the renowned NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Sunday [26/11]
After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our leading computer model has found the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Sunday November 26, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Wizards vs Hawks and Clippers vs Mavericks, with our advanced predictive model working its magic to detect valuable edges.
Wizards vs Hawks Under 247 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.76
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 56.9%
- Match: Wizards vs Hawks (Sunday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the matchup between the Wizards and Hawks. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 247 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 6.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Mavericks H2H vs Clippers ($1.83)
- Odds: $1.83 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.75
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Matchup: Clippers vs Mavericks (Sunday, 2:30PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Clippers and Mavericks. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Mavericks to win, available at $1.83 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 4.9% for this particular bet.
76ers H2H vs Thunder ($1.87)
- Odds: $1.87 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.80
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Matchup: Thunder vs 76ers (Sunday, 9:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Thunder and 76ers. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with 76ers to win at enticing odds of $1.87 through TAB. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 4.5% for this particular wager.
Clippers vs Mavericks Under 237 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.83
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Match: Clippers vs Mavericks (Sunday, 2:30PM AEDT)
Our next bet stems from the game between the Clippers and Mavericks. The play here is an over/under bet on the Under 237 Points, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 4.5% edge for this particular bet.
Pelicans H2H vs Jazz ($1.85)
- Odds: $1.85 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.79
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Jazz vs. Pelicans (Sunday, 1:30PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Jazz vs. Pelicans matchup. Our model has its eyes on Pelicans to win, coming in at $1.85 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, punters are getting a tasty 4.2% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Sunday 26/11
- Wizards vs Hawks: Under 247 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 6.9% edge)
- Clippers vs Mavericks: Mavericks to win ($1.83 at TAB, 4.9% edge)
- Thunder vs 76ers: 76ers to win ($1.87 at TAB, 4.5% edge)
- Clippers vs Mavericks: Under 237 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 4.5% edge)
- Jazz vs Pelicans: Pelicans to win ($1.85 at TAB, 4.2% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Now [November 26, 2023]
- 76ers vs Thunder (Sunday, 9:00AM)
- Heat vs Nets (Sunday, 10:00AM)
- Hawks vs Wizards (Sunday, 11:00AM)
- Lakers vs Cavaliers (Sunday, 11:30AM)
- Pelicans vs Jazz (Sunday, 1:30PM)
- Mavericks vs Clippers (Sunday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [26/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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