NBA Betting Tips Today [Saturday 09/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 9, 2023, 1:33AM | Published: Dec 8, 2023, 5:04AM
The best NBA betting tips for Sunday's action have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters all over Australia.
Each one of the suggested bets for Sunday's NBA come directly from the popular NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Saturday [10/12]
After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our famous computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make in Australia on Sunday December 10, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by multiple bets from the Suns vs Kings game, with our advanced predictive model working its magic to detect valuable edges.
Kings H2H vs Suns ($1.69)
- Odds: $1.69 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.64
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 60.9%
- Match: Suns vs Kings (Saturday, 1:00PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Suns and Kings. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Kings to win, currently offered at odds of $1.69 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 4.1% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Suns vs Kings Under 235 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.86
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Matchup: Suns vs Kings (Saturday, 1:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, again in the matchup featuring the Suns and Kings. We recommend considering an over/under wager on Under 235 Points, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 3.7% for this particular bet.
Jazz +7.5 vs Clippers ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.90
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Matchup: Jazz vs Clippers (Saturday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Jazz and Clippers. The play here is a line bet, with Jazz +7.5 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has found an advantageous edge of 2.5% for this particular wager.
Trail Blazers +9 vs Mavericks ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.90
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Match: Trail Blazers vs Mavericks (Saturday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our next best bet stems from the game between the Trail Blazers and Mavericks. The play here is a line bet on the Trail Blazers +9, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has detected a noteworthy 2.5% edge for this particular bet.
Rockets +9 vs Nuggets ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.92
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Nuggets vs. Rockets (Saturday, 1:00PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Nuggets vs. Rockets game. Our model has its eyes on Rockets +9, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available line odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 2.2% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Sunday 10/12
- Suns vs Kings: Kings to win ($1.69 at TAB, 4.1% edge)
- Suns vs Kings: Under 235 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 3.7% edge)
- Jazz vs Clippers: Jazz +7.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 2.5% edge)
- Trail Blazers vs Mavericks: Trail Blazers +9 ($1.91 at TAB, 2.5% edge)
- Nuggets vs Rockets: Rockets +9 ($1.91 at TAB, 2.2% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [December 10, 2023]
- Rockets vs Nuggets (Saturday, 1:00PM)
- Kings vs Suns (Saturday, 1:00PM)
- Clippers vs Jazz (Saturday, 2:00PM)
- Mavericks vs Trail Blazers (Saturday, 2:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [10/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
