NBA Betting Tips Today [Saturday 09/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 8, 2023, 4:31AM | Published: Dec 8, 2023, 12:04AM
The best NBA betting tips for Saturday's action have been revealed.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our reliable computer model to simulate every one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters all over Australia.
Each one of the recommended bets for Saturday's NBA come directly from the renowned NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Saturday [09/12]
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our independent computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Saturday December 9, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by Magic vs Pistons and Nets vs Wizards, with our advanced predictive model working around the clock to detect valuable edges.
Pistons +11.5 vs Magic ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.81
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 55.4%
- Match: Magic vs Pistons (Saturday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Magic and Pistons. We recommend placing a line bet on Pistons +11.5, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 5.4% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Wizards +9 vs Nets ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.81
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Nets vs Wizards (Saturday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Nets and Wizards. We recommend considering a line wager on Wizards +9, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 5.3% for this particular bet.
Raptors H2H vs Hornets ($1.55)
- Odds: $1.55 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.49
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 67.1%
- Matchup: Hornets vs Raptors (Saturday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Hornets and Raptors. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Raptors to win at enticing odds of $1.55 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 5.1% for this particular wager.
Cavaliers H2H vs Heat ($1.87)
- Odds: $1.87 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.79
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 56%
- Match: Heat vs Cavaliers (Saturday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Our next best bet stems from the game between the Heat and Cavaliers. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Cavaliers to win, currently available at $1.87 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 5.1% edge for this particular bet.
Nets vs Wizards Under 239.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.82
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: Nets vs. Wizards (Saturday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Nets vs. Wizards matchup. Our model has its eyes on Under 239.5 Points, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available over/under odds at TAB to our probabilities, punters are getting a tasty 4.8% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Saturday 09/12
- Magic vs Pistons: Pistons +11.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 5.4% edge)
- Nets vs Wizards: Wizards +9 ($1.91 at TAB, 5.3% edge)
- Hornets vs Raptors: Raptors to win ($1.55 at TAB, 5.1% edge)
- Heat vs Cavaliers: Cavaliers to win ($1.87 at TAB, 5.1% edge)
- Nets vs Wizards: Under 239.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 4.8% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [December 9, 2023]
- Hawks vs 76ers (Saturday, 11:00AM)
- Pistons vs Magic (Saturday, 11:00AM)
- Raptors vs Hornets (Saturday, 11:00AM)
- Wizards vs Nets (Saturday, 11:30AM)
- Knicks vs Celtics (Saturday, 11:30AM)
- Warriors vs Thunder (Saturday, 12:00PM)
- Timberwolves vs Grizzlies (Saturday, 12:00PM)
- Cavaliers vs Heat (Saturday, 12:00PM)
- Bulls vs Spurs (Saturday, 12:30PM)
- Rockets vs Nuggets (Saturday, 1:00PM)
- Kings vs Suns (Saturday, 1:00PM)
- Clippers vs Jazz (Saturday, 2:00PM)
- Mavericks vs Trail Blazers (Saturday, 2:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [09/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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