NBA Betting Tips Today [Saturday 02/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 2, 2023, 4:31AM | Published: Dec 1, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Sunday's action have been unveiled.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate each one of Sunday's NBA matches 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters across the nation.
Each one of our recommended bets for Sunday's NBA come directly from the popular NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Sunday [03/12]
After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our famous computer model has found the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Sunday December 3, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by Bucks vs Hawks and Heat vs Pacers, with our advanced predictive model working its magic to detect valuable edges.
Bucks vs Hawks Under 251 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.77
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Match: Bucks vs Hawks (Sunday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the matchup between the Bucks and Hawks. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 251 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have detected a significant edge of 6.5% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Heat H2H vs Pacers ($1.56)
- Odds: $1.56 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.59
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Matchup: Heat vs Pacers (Sunday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the matchup featuring the Heat and Pacers. We recommend considering a head-to-head wager on Heat to win, available at $1.56 odds through TAB. We have found a compelling edge of 4.9% for this particular bet.
Pistons +8.5 vs Cavaliers ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.82
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: Pistons vs Cavaliers (Sunday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Pistons and Cavaliers. The play here is a line bet, with Pistons +8.5 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 4.8% for this particular wager.
Heat vs Pacers Under 240.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.82
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Match: Heat vs Pacers (Sunday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Our next betting tip stems from the game between the Heat and Pacers. The play here is an over/under bet on the Under 240.5 Points, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 4.8% edge for this particular bet.
Pelicans H2H vs Bulls ($1.50)
- Odds: $1.50 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.54
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 64.9%
- Matchup: Bulls vs. Pelicans (Sunday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Bulls vs. Pelicans game. Our model has its eyes on Pelicans to win, coming in at $1.50 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 4.2% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Sunday 03/12
- Bucks vs Hawks: Under 251 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 6.5% edge)
- Heat vs Pacers: Heat to win ($1.56 at TAB, 4.9% edge)
- Pistons vs Cavaliers: Pistons +8.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.8% edge)
- Heat vs Pacers: Under 240.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 4.8% edge)
- Bulls vs Pelicans: Pelicans to win ($1.50 at TAB, 4.2% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Now [December 3, 2023]
- Warriors vs Clippers (Sunday, 8:00AM)
- Timberwolves vs Hornets (Sunday, 9:00AM)
- Cavaliers vs Pistons (Sunday, 11:00AM)
- Magic vs Nets (Sunday, 11:00AM)
- Hawks vs Bucks (Sunday, 12:00PM)
- Pacers vs Heat (Sunday, 12:00PM)
- Pelicans vs Bulls (Sunday, 12:00PM)
- Rockets vs Lakers (Sunday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [03/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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