NBA Betting Tips Today [Monday 18/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 18, 2023, 4:31AM | Published: Dec 17, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Tuesday's action have been released.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our powerful computer model to simulate each one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters across the country.
Each one of the suggested bets for Tuesday's NBA come directly from the popular NBA Value Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Tuesday [19/12]
After crunching the numbers and running thousands of simulations of today's NBA matches, our leading computer model has found the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Tuesday December 19, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips are led by Kings vs Wizards and Hawks vs Pistons, with our advanced predictive model carefully aiming to detect valuable edges.
Kings vs Wizards Under 244.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.79
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 56%
- Match: Kings vs Wizards (Tuesday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Kings and Wizards. We recommend placing an over/under bet on Under 244.5 Points, currently offered at odds of $1.91 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 6.0% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Pistons +10.5 vs Hawks ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.79
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 56%
- Matchup: Hawks vs Pistons (Tuesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Hawks and Pistons. We recommend considering a line wager on Pistons +10.5, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 6.0% for this particular bet.
Wizards +11.5 vs Kings ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.79
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Kings vs Wizards (Tuesday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the matchup between the Kings and Wizards. The play here is a line bet, with Wizards +11.5 at enticing odds of $1.91 through TAB. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 5.8% for this particular wager.
Clippers H2H vs Pacers ($1.69)
- Odds: $1.69 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.62
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 61.8%
- Match: Pacers vs Clippers (Tuesday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our next edge stems from the game between the Pacers and Clippers. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Clippers to win, currently available at $1.69 odds through TAB. Our model has detected a noteworthy 5.1% edge for this particular bet.
Timberwolves H2H vs Heat ($1.88)
- Odds: $1.88 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.79
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Heat vs. Timberwolves (Tuesday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Heat vs. Timberwolves game. Our model has its eyes on Timberwolves to win, coming in at $1.88 odds. When comparing the best available head-to-head odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 4.9% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Tuesday 19/12
- Kings vs Wizards: Under 244.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 6.0% edge)
- Hawks vs Pistons: Pistons +10.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 6.0% edge)
- Kings vs Wizards: Wizards +11.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 5.8% edge)
- Pacers vs Clippers: Clippers to win ($1.69 at TAB, 5.1% edge)
- Heat vs Timberwolves: Timberwolves to win ($1.88 at TAB, 4.9% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Today [December 19, 2023]
- Bulls vs 76ers (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Rockets vs Cavaliers (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Clippers vs Pacers (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Timberwolves vs Heat (Tuesday, 11:30AM)
- Pistons vs Hawks (Tuesday, 11:30AM)
- Hornets vs Raptors (Tuesday, 11:30AM)
- Grizzlies vs Thunder (Tuesday, 12:00PM)
- Nets vs Jazz (Tuesday, 1:00PM)
- Mavericks vs Nuggets (Tuesday, 1:00PM)
- Wizards vs Kings (Tuesday, 2:00PM)
- Knicks vs Lakers (Tuesday, 2:30PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to present what our model thinks are the correct odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we will say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is equivalent to fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be suggested at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [19/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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