NBA Betting Tips Today [Monday 06/11/2023]
Last updated: Nov 6, 2023, 4:02AM | Published: Nov 5, 2023, 4:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Tuesday's action have been revealed.
Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our independent computer model to simulate every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times and find the best NBA bets for punters across Australia.
Each one of the suggested bets for Tuesday's NBA come straight from the popular NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Tuesday [07/11]
After diving deep into the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our independent computer model has found the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Tuesday November 7, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Magic vs Mavericks and 76ers vs Wizards, with our advanced predictive model working its magic to detect valuable edges.
Magic H2H vs Mavericks ($1.77)
- Odds: $1.77 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.75
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Match: Magic vs Mavericks (Tuesday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Magic and Mavericks. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Magic to win, currently offered at odds of $1.77 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 6.1% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Wizards +12 vs 76ers ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.83
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Matchup: 76ers vs Wizards (Tuesday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the 76ers and Wizards. We recommend considering a line wager on Wizards +12, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 4.7% for this particular bet.
Rockets H2H vs Kings ($1.78)
- Odds: $1.78 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.72
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Matchup: Rockets vs Kings (Tuesday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Rockets and Kings. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Rockets to win at enticing odds of $1.78 through TAB. Our model has detected an advantageous edge of 4.3% for this particular wager.
Warriors H2H vs Pistons ($1.35)
- Odds: $1.35 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.39
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 71.8%
- Match: Pistons vs Warriors (Tuesday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our next best bet stems from the game between the Pistons and Warriors. The play here is a head-to-head bet on the Warriors to win, currently available at $1.35 odds through TAB. Our model has found a noteworthy 4.3% edge for this particular bet.
Thunder vs Hawks Under 236.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.85
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Thunder vs. Hawks (Tuesday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Thunder vs. Hawks matchup. Our model has its eyes on Under 236.5 Points, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available over/under odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 4.2% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Tuesday 07/11
- Magic vs Mavericks: Magic to win ($1.77 at TAB, 6.1% edge)
- 76ers vs Wizards: Wizards +12 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.7% edge)
- Rockets vs Kings: Rockets to win ($1.78 at TAB, 4.3% edge)
- Pistons vs Warriors: Warriors to win ($1.35 at TAB, 4.3% edge)
- Thunder vs Hawks: Under 236.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 4.2% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Now [November 7, 2023]
- Wizards vs 76ers (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Spurs vs Pacers (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Warriors vs Pistons (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Mavericks vs Magic (Tuesday, 11:00AM)
- Bucks vs Nets (Tuesday, 11:30AM)
- Lakers vs Heat (Tuesday, 11:30AM)
- Clippers vs Knicks (Tuesday, 11:30AM)
- Jazz vs Bulls (Tuesday, 12:00PM)
- Celtics vs Timberwolves (Tuesday, 12:00PM)
- Hawks vs Thunder (Tuesday, 12:00PM)
- Kings vs Rockets (Tuesday, 12:00PM)
- Pelicans vs Nuggets (Tuesday, 1:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model thinks are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because the odds are longer than we think they should be.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we recommend a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today [07/11]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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