NBA Betting Tips Today [Friday 01/12/2023]
Last updated: Dec 1, 2023, 4:31AM | Published: Nov 30, 2023, 5:02AM
The best NBA betting tips for Saturday's action have been released.
Led by its expert team of data analysts, Stats Insider has run 10,000 simulations of every one of Saturday's NBA games to produce accurate probabilities. These probabilities are then compared to the odds to find the best NBA bets for punters across Australia.
Each one of the suggested bets for Saturday's NBA come straight from the popular NBA Best Bets page on Stats Insider.
NBA Saturday [02/12]
After crunching the numbers and conducting thousands of simulations of today's NBA games, our leading computer model has determined the best basketball bets to make with Australian bookies on Saturday December 2, 2023.
Today's NBA betting tips feature Suns vs Nuggets and Pelicans vs Spurs, with our advanced predictive model carefully aiming to detect valuable edges.
Nuggets H2H vs Suns ($1.53)
- Odds: $1.53 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.70
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 58.7%
- Match: Suns vs Nuggets (Saturday, 2:00PM AEDT)
Our model has pinpointed the best NBA bet to make today, focusing on the game between the Suns and Nuggets. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Nuggets to win, currently offered at odds of $1.53 at TAB. We have found a significant edge of 6.0% for this particular wager, which makes it our NBA bet of the day.
MORE: NBA Value Bets Today
Spurs +12.5 vs Pelicans ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.81
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Pelicans vs Spurs (Saturday, 12:00PM AEDT)
Our model has uncovered another standout NBA bet, specifically in the game featuring the Pelicans and Spurs. We recommend considering a line wager on Spurs +12.5, available at $1.91 odds through TAB. We have detected a compelling edge of 5.3% for this particular bet.
Celtics H2H vs 76ers ($1.31)
- Odds: $1.31 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.38
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 72.3%
- Matchup: Celtics vs 76ers (Saturday, 11:30AM AEDT)
Another top tip for today's basketball action comes from the game between the Celtics and 76ers. The play here is a head-to-head bet, with Celtics to win at enticing odds of $1.31 through TAB. Our model has identified an advantageous edge of 5.0% for this particular wager.
Magic vs Wizards Under 237.5 Points ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.82
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Match: Magic vs Wizards (Saturday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Our next edge stems from the game between the Magic and Wizards. The play here is an over/under bet on the Under 237.5 Points, currently available at $1.91 odds through TAB. Our model has detected a noteworthy 4.8% edge for this particular bet.
Wizards +11 vs Magic ($1.91)
- Odds: $1.91 via TAB
- Fair Odds: $1.83
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Matchup: Magic vs. Wizards (Saturday, 11:00AM AEDT)
Next up, we're looking at the Magic vs. Wizards matchup. Our model has its eyes on Wizards +11, coming in at $1.91 odds. When comparing the best available line odds at TAB to our probabilities, we're talking about a tasty 4.6% edge here.
NBA Best Bets for Saturday 02/12
- Suns vs Nuggets: Nuggets to win ($1.53 at TAB, 6.0% edge)
- Pelicans vs Spurs: Spurs +12.5 ($1.91 at TAB, 5.3% edge)
- Celtics vs 76ers: Celtics to win ($1.31 at TAB, 5.0% edge)
- Magic vs Wizards: Under 237.5 Points ($1.91 at TAB, 4.8% edge)
- Magic vs Wizards: Wizards +11 ($1.91 at TAB, 4.6% edge)
MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times
NBA Games to Bet on Now [December 2, 2023]
- Wizards vs Magic (Saturday, 11:00AM)
- Knicks vs Raptors (Saturday, 11:30AM)
- Grizzlies vs Mavericks (Saturday, 11:30AM)
- 76ers vs Celtics (Saturday, 11:30AM)
- Spurs vs Pelicans (Saturday, 12:00PM)
- Nuggets vs Suns (Saturday, 2:00PM)
All times listed are Australian Eastern Time.
What Is an Edge in Betting?
The edge at Stats Insider is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that our predictive analytics model believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the bookies do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
What Are Fair Odds in Betting?
Stats Insider uses "fair odds" to show what our model believes are the right odds for a certain bet.
For example, if a team wins 6,520 out of 10,000 simulated games, we'll say they have a 65.2% chance of winning, which is the same as fair odds of $1.53. If you can bet on the team at odds of $2.00 with a bookmaker, this would be recommended at the time because we think the odds should be shorter.
Basically, fair odds make it easier to understand why we suggest a certain bet because they are easy to compare to bookie odds.
Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions Today [02/12]
At Stats Insider, we strongly encourage our readers to set limits for themselves and gamble responsibly within their means.
If you decide to use our NBA tips and predictions for betting purposes, it is crucial to know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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