Nationals vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 7 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 6, 2025, 5:35PM | Published: Jul 6, 2025, 4:29AM
The Washington Nationals will take on the favoured Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Nationals Park on Monday, beginning at 3:35am AEST.
Shinnosuke Ogasawara (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will be on the bump for the Nationals, up against Garrett Crochet (8-4, 2.34 ERA) for the Red Sox.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Nationals vs Red Sox game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Washington vs Boston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Red Sox a 64% chance of defeating the Nationals at Nationals Park.
Nationals vs Red Sox: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Nationals Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Nationals $3.00, Red Sox $1.41
- Line: Nationals +1.5 ($2.20), Red Sox -1.5 ($1.72)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nationals at $3.00 and the Red Sox at $1.41.
The Nationals are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.20 available at TAB.
For the favourite Red Sox (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.72.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Nationals vs Red Sox: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $3.00 with TAB
- Line: Nationals +1.5 at $2.20 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Nationals vs Red Sox best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice every time.
And while the Red Sox have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our preferred option because of the 4.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Although the Red Sox are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Nationals +1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Nationals vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs Boston game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Boston match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Nationals vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The game between the Nationals and Red Sox at Nationals Park is scheduled to begin at 3:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Monday 7 July 2025
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: Nationals Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs Boston predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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