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Nationals vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 13 September 2025

The Washington Nationals will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Nationals Park on Saturday, starting at 8:45am AEST.

The Nationals will send Brad Lord (5-8, 4.20 ERA) to the mound, up against Mitch Keller (6-14, 4.16 ERA) for the Pirates.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Nationals vs Pirates game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Washington vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Nationals a 52% chance of winning against the Pirates at Nationals Park.

Nationals vs Pirates: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Nationals Park are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Nationals $1.91, Pirates $1.91
  • Line: Nationals -1.5 ($2.85), Pirates +1.5 ($1.44)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nationals at $1.91 and the Pirates at $1.91.

The Nationals are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.85 available at TAB.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.44.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Nationals vs Pirates: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Washington at $1.91 with TAB
  • Line: Nationals -1.5 at $2.85 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB

These Nationals vs Pirates betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Even though the Pirates are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Nationals -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.

Nationals vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs Pittsburgh game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Washington vs Pittsburgh match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Nationals vs Pirates: Essential Details

The game between the Nationals and Pirates at Nationals Park is scheduled to start at 8:45am AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Washington vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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