Nationals vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 22 May 2026
Last updated: May 21, 2026, 8:00PM | Published: May 21, 2026, 3:29AM
The Washington Nationals will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Nationals Park on Friday, beginning at 6:05am AEST.
Cade Cavalli (2-2, 4.05 ERA) will get the ball for the Nationals, up against David Peterson (2-4, 5.40 ERA) for the Mets.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Nationals vs Mets game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Washington vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 51% chance of winning against the Nationals at Nationals Park.
Nationals vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Nationals Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Nationals $1.91, Mets $1.91
- Line: Nationals +1.5 ($1.59), Mets -1.5 ($2.45)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nationals at $1.91 and the Mets at $1.91.
The Nationals are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.59 available at TAB.
For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.45.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Nationals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Nationals vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.91 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.45 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Nationals vs Mets betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Nationals are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Nationals vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs NY Mets game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Nationals vs Mets: Essential Details
The match-up between the Nationals and Mets at Nationals Park is scheduled to commence at 6:05am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
- Date: Friday 22 May 2026
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Nationals Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Washington vs NY Mets predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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