Nationals vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 21 August 2025

The Washington Nationals will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Nationals Park on Thursday, beginning at 8:45am AEST.

Brad Lord (3-6, 3.26 ERA) will be on the bump for the Nationals, up against Kodai Senga (7-4, 2.35 ERA) for the Mets.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Nationals vs Mets game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Washington vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 59% chance of beating the Nationals at Nationals Park.

Nationals vs Mets: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Nationals Park are shown here:

• Head to Head: Nationals $2.41, Mets $1.57
• Line: Nationals +1.5 ($1.85), Mets -1.5 ($1.94)
• Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nationals at $2.41 and the Mets at $1.57.

The Nationals are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.85 available at TAB.

For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.94.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Nationals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Nationals vs Mets: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Washington at $2.41 with TAB
• Line: Nationals +1.5 at $1.85 with TAB
• Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB

These Nationals vs Mets best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our recommended option because of the 1.3% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Nationals vs Mets: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Washington vs NY Mets game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs NY Mets match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Nationals vs Mets: Essential Details

The game between the Nationals and Mets at Nationals Park is scheduled to start at 8:45am AEST on Thursday.

• Teams: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
• Date: Thursday 21 August 2025
• Time: 8:45am AEST
• Venue: Nationals Park

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Washington vs NY Mets predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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