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Nationals vs Braves Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 May 2025

The Washington Nationals will face the Atlanta Braves in MLB action at Nationals Park on Friday, commencing at 8:45am AEST.

The Nationals will have Trevor Williams (2-5, 5.91 ERA) start, while the Braves are going with AJ Smith-Shawver (3-2, 2.33 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Nationals vs Braves game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Washington vs Atlanta MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Braves a 57% chance of beating the Nationals at Nationals Park.

Nationals vs Braves: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Nationals Park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Nationals $2.30, Braves $1.65
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 ($1.80), Braves -1.5 ($2.04)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Nationals at $2.30 and the Braves at $1.65.

The Nationals are 1.5-run underdogs against the Braves, with odds of $1.80 available at TAB.

For the favourite Braves (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.04.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Nationals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Nationals vs Braves: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Washington at $2.30 with TAB
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 at $1.80 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Nationals vs Braves betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Braves have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our recommended option because of the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Nationals vs Braves: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Washington vs Atlanta game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Washington vs Atlanta game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Nationals vs Braves: Essential Details

The match-up between the Nationals and Braves at Nationals Park is scheduled to start at 8:45am AEST on Friday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Washington vs Atlanta predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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