Mets vs Yankees Prediction and MLB Tips - 7 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 6, 2025, 5:35PM | Published: Jul 6, 2025, 4:30AM
The New York Mets will face the New York Yankees in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, commencing at 3:40am AEST.
The Mets will send Chris Devenski (0-0, 3.38 ERA) to the mound, up against Max Fried (10-2, 2.13 ERA) for the Yankees.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Yankees game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Mets vs NY Yankees MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Yankees a 59% chance of winning against the Mets at Citi Field.
Mets vs Yankees: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $2.56, Yankees $1.54
- Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.97), Yankees -1.5 ($1.86)
- Total (Over/Under 8.917 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.56 and the Yankees at $1.54.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Yankees, with odds of $1.97 available at TAB.
For the favourite Yankees (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.86.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.917 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 8.917-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Mets vs Yankees: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.56 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.97 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.917 at $1.91 with TAB
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Mets vs Yankees betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Yankees have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our recommended option due to the 3.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Mets vs Yankees: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs NY Yankees game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs NY Yankees game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Yankees: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Yankees at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 3:40am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs New York Yankees
- Date: Monday 7 July 2025
- Time: 3:40am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs NY Yankees predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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