Mets vs Yankees Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 May 2026
Last updated: May 17, 2026, 5:40PM | Published: May 16, 2026, 7:46PM
The New York Mets will take on the New York Yankees in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, beginning at 3:40am AEST.
The Mets will send Freddy Peralta (3-3, 3.10 ERA) to the mound, up against Elmer Rodríguez (0-1, 5.19 ERA) for the Yankees.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Yankees game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's NY Mets vs NY Yankees MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of defeating the Yankees at Citi Field.
Mets vs Yankees: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.80, Yankees $2.05
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.65), Yankees +1.5 ($1.50)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.80 and the Yankees at $2.05.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Yankees, with odds of $2.65 available at TAB.
For the underdog Yankees (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.50.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Yankees (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.
Mets vs Yankees: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Yankees at $2.05 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.65 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Mets vs Yankees best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Yankees to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Although the Yankees are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Mets vs Yankees: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs NY Yankees game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs NY Yankees game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Yankees: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Yankees at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 3:40am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs New York Yankees
- Date: Monday 18 May 2026
- Time: 3:40am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs NY Yankees predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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