Mets vs Yankees Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 May 2026
Last updated: May 15, 2026, 11:15PM | Published: May 14, 2026, 5:30PM
The New York Mets will take on the New York Yankees in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, beginning at 9:15am AEST.
Clay Holmes (4-3, 1.86 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Yankees will counter with Cam Schlittler (5-1, 1.35 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Yankees game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's NY Mets vs NY Yankees MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Yankees a 54% chance of beating the Mets at Citi Field.
Mets vs Yankees: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $2.25, Yankees $1.67
- Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.67), Yankees -1.5 ($2.25)
- Total (Over/Under 7 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.25 and the Yankees at $1.67.
The Mets are 1.5-run underdogs against the Yankees, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.
For the favourite Yankees (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 7-run over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Mets vs Yankees: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.25 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.67 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Yankees predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Yankees have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our recommended option due to the 3.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Mets vs Yankees: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs NY Yankees game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the NY Mets vs NY Yankees game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Yankees: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Yankees at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:15am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs New York Yankees
- Date: Saturday 16 May 2026
- Time: 9:15am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs NY Yankees predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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