Mets vs Twins Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 22, 2026, 11:10PM | Published: Apr 22, 2026, 6:31AM
The New York Mets will take on the Minnesota Twins in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will send Clay Holmes (2-2, 1.96 ERA) to the mound, up against Connor Prielipp (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Twins.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Twins game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's NY Mets vs Minnesota MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 59% chance of beating the Twins at Citi Field.
Mets vs Twins: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.62, Twins $2.35
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.40), Twins +1.5 ($1.61)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.62 and the Twins at $2.35.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Twins, with odds of $2.40 available at TAB.
For the underdog Twins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.61.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Twins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Mets vs Twins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Minnesota at $2.35 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.40 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Mets vs Twins predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Twins to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Even though the Twins are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Twins: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Minnesota game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Minnesota match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Twins: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Twins at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Minnesota Twins
- Date: Thursday 23 April 2026
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Minnesota predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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