Mets vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 13 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 12, 2026, 5:40PM | Published: Jul 12, 2026, 2:32AM
The New York Mets will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 3:40am AEST.
Zach Thornton (0-1, 4.36 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Red Sox will counter with Payton Tolle (5-6, 3.14 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Red Sox game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Mets vs Boston MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 54% chance of beating the Red Sox at Citi Field.
Mets vs Red Sox: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.95, Red Sox $1.87
- Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.59), Red Sox -1.5 ($2.45)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.95 and the Red Sox at $1.87.
The Mets are 1.5-run underdogs against the Red Sox, with odds of $1.59 available at TAB.
For the favourite Red Sox (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.45.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 66% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Mets vs Red Sox: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.95 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.59 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Mets vs Red Sox predictions are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Mets vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Boston game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Boston game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Red Sox at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 3:40am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Monday 13 July 2026
- Time: 3:40am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Boston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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