Mets vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 11, 2026, 8:10PM | Published: Jul 11, 2026, 6:39AM
The New York Mets will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, commencing at 6:10am AEST.
The Mets will have Freddy Peralta (5-7, 4.68 ERA) start, up against Eduardo Rivera (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Red Sox.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Red Sox game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's NY Mets vs Boston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 59% chance of beating the Red Sox at Citi Field.
Mets vs Red Sox: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.71, Red Sox $2.20
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.45), Red Sox +1.5 ($1.59)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.71 and the Red Sox at $2.20.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.45 available at TAB.
For the underdog Red Sox (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.59.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Mets vs Red Sox: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.71 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.45 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Mets vs Red Sox best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though the Red Sox are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Boston game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Boston match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Red Sox at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 6:10am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Sunday 12 July 2026
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Boston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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