Mets vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 10, 2026, 11:45PM | Published: Jul 9, 2026, 6:36PM
The New York Mets will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, beginning at 9:15am AEST.
The Mets will have Nolan McLean (6-5, 3.73 ERA) start, while the Red Sox will counter with Sonny Gray (10-1, 2.61 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Mets vs Red Sox game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's NY Mets vs Boston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 57% chance of defeating the Red Sox at Citi Field.
Mets vs Red Sox: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.67, Red Sox $2.25
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.45), Red Sox +1.5 ($1.59)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.67 and the Red Sox at $2.25.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.45 available at TAB.
For the underdog Red Sox (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.59.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Mets vs Red Sox: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Boston at $2.25 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.45 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Mets vs Red Sox predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Red Sox to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Although the Red Sox are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Mets vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Boston game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Boston match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Red Sox at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:15am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Saturday 11 July 2026
- Time: 9:15am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Boston predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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