Mets vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 10, 2026, 1:50AM | Published: Jul 9, 2026, 6:36PM
The New York Mets will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, starting at 9:15am AEST.
Nolan McLean (6-5, 3.73 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, up against Sonny Gray (10-1, 2.61 ERA) for the Red Sox.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Red Sox game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's NY Mets vs Boston MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 56% chance of winning against the Red Sox at Citi Field.
Mets vs Red Sox: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.74, Red Sox $2.15
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.60), Red Sox +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.74 and the Red Sox at $2.15.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Red Sox (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Mets vs Red Sox: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.74 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.60 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Mets vs Red Sox predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Red Sox are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Boston game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Boston game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Red Sox at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 9:15am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Saturday 11 July 2026
- Time: 9:15am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Boston predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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