Mets vs Rays: Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 May 2023
May 17, 2023, 5:33AM
The New York Mets face the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
Kodai Senga (4-2, 4.14 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Rays will counter with Josh Fleming (0-0, 4.26 ERA).
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Mets vs Rays, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Mets vs Rays
Based on detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's NY Mets-Tampa Bay MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 54% chance of beating the Rays at Citi Field.
More: Mets vs Rays Simulated 10,000 Times
Mets vs Rays: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.77, Rays $2.10
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.65), Rays +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.87, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Mets to win at $1.77 and the Rays to win at $2.10.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Rays, with odds of $2.65 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Rays (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.54.
The Over/Under for Mets vs Rays sits at 8.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every MLB Game
Mets vs Rays: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.10 with bet365 (0.2% edge)
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.65 with bet365 (0.4% edge)
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.95 with bet365 (0.2% edge)
Our Mets vs Rays best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rays to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Although the Rays are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.95) that are available from bet365.
Mets vs Rays: Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of NY Mets vs Tampa Bay on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the NY Mets vs Tampa Bay match-up at Citi Field.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Mets vs Rays: Preview
The match-up between the Mets and Rays at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Game: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Thursday 18 May 2023
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for NY Mets vs Tampa Bay have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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