Mets vs Rays Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 June 2025
Last updated: Jun 15, 2025, 5:40PM | Published: Jun 14, 2025, 5:32PM
The New York Mets will face the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 3:40am AEST.
The Mets will send Griffin Canning (6-2, 3.22 ERA) to the mound, while the Rays will counter with Shane Baz (5-3, 4.97 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Rays game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's NY Mets vs Tampa Bay MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 58% chance of defeating the Rays at Citi Field.
Mets vs Rays: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.64, Rays $2.30
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.40), Rays +1.5 ($1.60)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.64 and the Rays at $2.30.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Rays, with odds of $2.40 available at TAB.
For the underdog Rays (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.60.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Rays (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Mets vs Rays: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.30 with TAB
- Line: Rays +1.5 at $1.60 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Mets vs Rays betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rays to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Mets vs Rays: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Tampa Bay game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Tampa Bay game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Rays: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Rays at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 3:40am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Monday 16 June 2025
- Time: 3:40am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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