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Mets vs Rays Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 June 2025

The New York Mets will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, beginning at 3:40am AEST.

The Mets will have Griffin Canning (6-2, 3.22 ERA) start, while the Rays will counter with Shane Baz (5-3, 4.97 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Rays game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's NY Mets vs Tampa Bay MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 59% chance of winning against the Rays at Citi Field.

Mets vs Rays: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.62, Rays $2.35
  • Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.35), Rays +1.5 ($1.62)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.62 and the Rays at $2.35.

The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Rays, with odds of $2.35 available at TAB.

For the underdog Rays (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.62.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Rays (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Mets vs Rays: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.35 with TAB
  • Line: Rays +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Mets vs Rays betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rays to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Mets vs Rays: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Tampa Bay game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Tampa Bay match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mets vs Rays: Essential Details

The match-up between the Mets and Rays at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 3:40am AEST on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our NY Mets vs Tampa Bay predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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