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Mets vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 April 2024

The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, beginning at 3:10am AEST.

The Mets will have Luis Severino (1-1, 3.00 ERA) start, up against Bailey Falter (1-0, 4.20 ERA) for the Pirates.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Mets vs Pirates game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Mets vs Pirates

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's NY Mets-Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 56% chance of defeating the Pirates at Citi Field.

More: Mets vs Pirates Match Centre

Mets vs Pirates: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.62, Pirates $2.30
  • Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.35), Pirates +1.5 ($1.60)
  • Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Mets at $1.62 and the Pirates at $2.30.

The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.35 currently on offer at TAB.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.60.

The Over/Under for Mets vs Pirates has been set at 7.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Live Scores for All Sports

Mets vs Pirates: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.30 with (2.6% edge)
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.60 with TAB (62% probability)
  • Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Mets vs Pirates predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option because of the 2.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 7.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.

Mets vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider has full coverage of NY Mets vs Pittsburgh on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Pittsburgh match-up at Citi Field.

As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Mets vs Pirates: Preview

The game between the Mets and Pirates at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 3:10am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our NY Mets vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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