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Mets vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 April 2024

The New York Mets will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Citi Field on Tuesday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.

The Mets will have Adrian Houser (0-1, 5.40 ERA) start, while the Pirates are going with Martín Pérez (1-0, 1.90 ERA).

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Mets vs Pirates game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Mets vs Pirates

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's NY Mets-Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Pirates at Citi Field.

More: Mets vs Pirates Simulated 10K Times

Mets vs Pirates: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.75, Pirates $2.05
  • Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.47), Pirates -1.5 ($2.65)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Mets at $1.75 and the Pirates at $2.05.

The Mets are 1.5-run underdogs against the Pirates, with odds of $1.47 currently on offer at TAB.

For the favourite Pirates (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.65.

The Over/Under for Mets vs Pirates has been set at 8.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the 8.5-run Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Mets vs Pirates: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.05 with (1.2% edge)
  • Line: Pirates -1.5 at $2.65 with TAB (10.1% edge) 🔥
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB (52% probability)

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.

These Mets vs Pirates predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.

And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option because of the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Although the Mets are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Pirates -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Mets vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of NY Mets vs Pittsburgh on Tuesday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the NY Mets vs Pittsburgh game at Citi Field.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Mets vs Pirates: Preview

The game between the Mets and Pirates at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 9:10am AEST on Tuesday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our NY Mets vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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