Mets vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 15 May 2025

The New York Mets will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 9:10am AEST.

Clay Holmes (5-1, 2.74 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, pitting him against Bailey Falter (2-3, 4.36 ERA) for the Pirates.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Mets vs Pirates game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's NY Mets vs Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 71% chance of winning against the Pirates at Citi Field.

Mets vs Pirates: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:

• Head to Head: Mets $1.36, Pirates $3.28
• Line: Mets -1.5 ($1.81), Pirates +1.5 ($2.02)
• Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.36 and the Pirates at $3.28.

The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $1.81 available at TAB.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.02.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Mets vs Pirates: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $3.28 with TAB
• Line: Pirates +1.5 at $2.02 with TAB
• Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Mets vs Pirates best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Even though the Mets are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Pirates +1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Mets vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Pittsburgh game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Pittsburgh match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mets vs Pirates: Essential Details

The match-up between the Mets and Pirates at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.

• Teams: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
• Date: Thursday 15 May 2025
• Time: 9:10am AEST
• Venue: Citi Field

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our NY Mets vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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