Mets vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 29 June 2026
Last updated: Jun 28, 2026, 5:40PM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 3:36AM
The New York Mets will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, commencing at 3:40am AEST.
Cionel Pérez (3-3, 4.99 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Phillies will counter with Jesús Luzardo (6-4, 4.00 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Phillies game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Mets vs Philadelphia MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 52% chance of beating the Mets at Citi Field.
Mets vs Phillies: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $2.35, Phillies $1.62
- Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.80), Phillies -1.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.35 and the Phillies at $1.62.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.80 available at TAB.
For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.04.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Mets vs Phillies: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.35 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.80 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Mets vs Phillies betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option due to the 7.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Mets vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Philadelphia match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Phillies: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 3:40am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Monday 29 June 2026
- Time: 3:40am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Philadelphia predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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