Mets vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 28 June 2026
Last updated: Jun 27, 2026, 9:20PM | Published: Jun 27, 2026, 6:43AM
The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, commencing at 6:10am AEST.
The Mets will have Christian Scott (2-0, 3.10 ERA) start, while the Phillies are going with Tim Mayza (2-2, 3.06 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Phillies game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's NY Mets vs Philadelphia MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 57% chance of beating the Phillies at Citi Field.
Mets vs Phillies: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.77, Phillies $2.10
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.54), Phillies +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.77 and the Phillies at $2.10.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Phillies, with odds of $2.54 available at TAB.
For the underdog Phillies (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.54.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Mets vs Phillies: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.77 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.54 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Phillies predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Mets vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the NY Mets vs Philadelphia match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Phillies: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 6:10am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Sunday 28 June 2026
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Philadelphia predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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