Mets vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 28 August 2025
Last updated: Aug 27, 2025, 11:09PM | Published: Aug 26, 2025, 7:35PM
The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will have Nolan McLean (2-0, 1.46 ERA) start, pitting him against Taijuan Walker (4-6, 3.44 ERA) for the Phillies.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Mets vs Phillies game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's NY Mets vs Philadelphia MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 59% chance of defeating the Phillies at Citi Field.
Mets vs Phillies: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.62, Phillies $2.35
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.35), Phillies +1.5 ($1.62)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.62 and the Phillies at $2.35.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Phillies, with odds of $2.35 available at TAB.
For the underdog Phillies (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.62.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mets vs Phillies: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $2.35 with TAB
- Line: Phillies +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Mets vs Phillies predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Phillies to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Mets vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Phillies: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday 28 August 2025
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Philadelphia predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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