Mets vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 27 June 2026
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026, 11:09PM | Published: Jun 26, 2026, 8:41PM
The New York Mets will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will have Zach Thornton (0-1, 8.31 ERA) start, while the Phillies will counter with Zack Wheeler (7-1, 2.11 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Phillies game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's NY Mets vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 54% chance of defeating the Mets at Citi Field.
Mets vs Phillies: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $2.33, Phillies $1.60
- Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.82), Phillies -1.5 ($2.00)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.33 and the Phillies at $1.60.
The Mets are 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.82 available at TAB.
For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.00.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mets vs Phillies: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.33 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.82 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
These Mets vs Phillies best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option due to the 5.8% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Mets vs Phillies: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Philadelphia match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Phillies: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 9:10am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday 27 June 2026
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Philadelphia predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.
