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Mets vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 20 September 2026

The New York Mets will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, beginning at 6:10am AEST.

Christian Scott (4-5, 3.76 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, up against Andrew Painter (3-9, 5.54 ERA) for the Phillies.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Phillies game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's NY Mets vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 55% chance of winning against the Phillies at Citi Field.

Mets vs Phillies: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.80, Phillies $2.05
  • Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.70), Phillies +1.5 ($1.49)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.80 and the Phillies at $2.05.

The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Phillies, with odds of $2.70 available at TAB.

For the underdog Phillies (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.49.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.

Mets vs Phillies: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.80 with TAB
  • Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.70 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB

These Mets vs Phillies best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Although the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Mets vs Phillies: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Philadelphia game.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mets vs Phillies: Essential Details

The match-up between the Mets and Phillies at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 6:10am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our NY Mets vs Philadelphia predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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