Mets vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 19 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 17, 2025, 11:22PM | Published: Sep 17, 2025, 9:30PM
The New York Mets will sqaure off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citi Field on Friday, beginning at 3:10am AEST.
Jonah Tong (1-2, 8.49 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Padres are going with Randy Vásquez (5-6, 3.72 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Mets vs Padres game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's NY Mets vs San Diego MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 56% chance of beating the Padres at Citi Field.
Mets vs Padres: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.83, Padres $2.00
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.60), Padres +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.83 and the Padres at $2.00.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Mets vs Padres: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.83 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.60 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Padres best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Padres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs San Diego game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs San Diego game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Padres: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 3:10am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Friday 19 September 2025
- Time: 3:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs San Diego predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.
