Mets vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 19 August 2026

The New York Mets will sqaure off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citi Field on Wednesday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.

The Mets will have Zac Thornton (3-3, 2.78 ERA) start, up against Robbie Ray (10-7, 3.28 ERA) for the Padres.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Padres game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's NY Mets vs San Diego MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 51% chance of winning against the Mets at Citi Field.

Mets vs Padres: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:

• Head to Head: Mets $2.03, Padres $1.88
• Line: Mets +1.5 ($1.61), Padres -1.5 ($2.40)
• Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $2.03 and the Padres at $1.88.

The Mets are 1.5-run underdogs against the Padres, with odds of $1.61 available at TAB.

For the favourite Padres (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.40.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Mets vs Padres: Best Bets

• Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.03 with TAB
• Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
• Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Mets vs Padres predictions are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Padres have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option due to the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Mets vs Padres: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs San Diego game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs San Diego game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mets vs Padres: Essential Details

The match-up between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 9:10am AEST on Wednesday.

• Teams: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
• Date: Wednesday 19 August 2026
• Time: 9:10am AEST
• Venue: Citi Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our NY Mets vs San Diego predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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