Mets vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 17, 2025, 11:09PM | Published: Sep 17, 2025, 7:30PM
The New York Mets will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.
David Peterson (9-5, 3.77 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, while the Padres will counter with Nick Pivetta (13-5, 2.73 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Padres game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's NY Mets vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 56% chance of winning against the Padres at Citi Field.
Mets vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.77, Padres $2.10
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.79), Padres +1.5 ($1.46)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.77 and the Padres at $2.10.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.79 available at TAB.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.46.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mets vs Padres: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.77 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.79 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Mets vs Padres betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Padres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Mets vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs San Diego game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs San Diego match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Padres: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Thursday 18 September 2025
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs San Diego predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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