Mets vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 17, 2025, 7:22PM | Published: Sep 16, 2025, 8:31PM
The New York Mets will sqaure off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will have David Peterson (9-5, 3.77 ERA) start, pitting him against Nick Pivetta (13-5, 2.73 ERA) for the Padres.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Padres game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's NY Mets vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 56% chance of defeating the Padres at Citi Field.
Mets vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.80, Padres $2.05
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.75), Padres +1.5 ($1.48)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.80 and the Padres at $2.05.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.75 available at TAB.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.48.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mets vs Padres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.80 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.75 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Padres betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Even though the Padres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs San Diego game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs San Diego game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Padres: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Thursday 18 September 2025
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs San Diego predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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