Mets vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 16, 2025, 2:11PM | Published: Sep 15, 2025, 8:31PM
The New York Mets will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citi Field on Wednesday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will have Clay Holmes (11-8, 3.76 ERA) start, while the Padres are going with Michael King (4-2, 2.87 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Padres game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NY Mets vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 53% chance of defeating the Padres at Citi Field.
Mets vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.83, Padres $2.00
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.70), Padres +1.5 ($1.49)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.83 and the Padres at $2.00.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.70 available at TAB.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.49.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mets vs Padres: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.83 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.49 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Mets vs Padres predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Mets vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs San Diego game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs San Diego game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Padres: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 9:10am AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Wednesday 17 September 2025
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs San Diego predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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