Mets vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 September 2026
Last updated: Sep 16, 2026, 12:35PM | Published: Sep 15, 2026, 7:34PM
The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
Robert Stock (1-3, 5.93 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, pitting him against Chris Bassitt (7-5, 4.88 ERA) for the Orioles.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Orioles game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's NY Mets vs Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 59% chance of defeating the Orioles at Citi Field.
Mets vs Orioles: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.68, Orioles $2.23
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.38), Orioles +1.5 ($1.60)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.68 and the Orioles at $2.23.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $2.38 available at TAB.
For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.60.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Mets vs Orioles: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.68 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.38 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Mets vs Orioles betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Orioles are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Orioles: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Baltimore game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Baltimore game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Orioles: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Orioles at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Thursday 17 September 2026
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Baltimore predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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