Mets vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 September 2026
Last updated: Sep 15, 2026, 11:11PM | Published: Sep 14, 2026, 6:33PM
The New York Mets will take on the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Citi Field on Wednesday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
The Mets will send Sean Manaea (5-7, 4.79 ERA) to the mound, while the Orioles are going with Shane Baz (6-15, 4.05 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Mets vs Orioles game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NY Mets vs Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 58% chance of defeating the Orioles at Citi Field.
Mets vs Orioles: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.74, Orioles $2.15
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.65), Orioles +1.5 ($1.50)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.74 and the Orioles at $2.15.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $2.65 available at TAB.
For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.50.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Mets vs Orioles: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.74 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.65 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Orioles betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Orioles are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Orioles: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Baltimore game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Baltimore match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Orioles: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Orioles at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Wednesday 16 September 2026
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Baltimore predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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