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Mets vs Nationals Prediction and MLB Tips - 22 September 2025

The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Washington Nationals in Game of the League Series at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 3:40am AEST.

The Mets will send Sean Manaea (2-3, 5.40 ERA) to the mound, up against Jake Irvin (8-13, 5.76 ERA) for the Nationals.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Nationals game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Mets vs Washington MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 72% chance of beating the Nationals at Citi Field.

Mets vs Nationals: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.34, Nationals $3.33
  • Line: Mets -1.5 ($1.78), Nationals +1.5 ($2.04)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.34 and the Nationals at $3.33.

The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Nationals, with odds of $1.78 available at TAB.

For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.04.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Mets vs Nationals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.34 with TAB
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 at $2.04 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Today's Mets vs Nationals predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Although the Mets are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Nationals +1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Mets vs Nationals: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Washington game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Washington match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mets vs Nationals: Essential Details

The game between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 3:40am AEST on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our NY Mets vs Washington predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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