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Mets vs Nationals Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 July 2024

The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.

The Mets will have Luis Severino (5-3, 3.83 ERA) start, pitting him against Patrick Corbin (1-8, 5.49 ERA) for the Nationals.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Mets vs Nationals game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Mets vs Nationals

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's NY Mets-Washington MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 63% chance of beating the Nationals at Citi Field.

Mets vs Nationals: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.49, Nationals $2.70
  • Line: Mets -1.5 ($1.97), Nationals +1.5 ($1.84)
  • Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Mets at $1.49 and the Nationals at $2.70.

The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Nationals, with odds of $1.97 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.84.

The over/under for total runs scored has been set at 9.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.91 and odds for the under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 51% chance of staying Under.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Mets vs Nationals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Washington at $2.70 with (1.0% edge)
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 at $1.84 with TAB (54% probability)
  • Total Runs: Under 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB (51% probability)

Stats Insider's Mets vs Nationals predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our preferred option due to the 1.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Mets vs Nationals: Prediction

Stats Insider has full coverage of NY Mets vs Washington on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live scores.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the NY Mets vs Washington game at Citi Field.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Mets vs Nationals: Preview

The match-up between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Our NY Mets vs Washington predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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