Mets vs Nationals Prediction and MLB Tips - 1 May 2026
Last updated: Apr 30, 2026, 5:09PM | Published: Apr 29, 2026, 5:33PM
The New York Mets will sqaure off with the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Citi Field on Friday, commencing at 3:10am AEST.
Freddy Peralta (1-3, 3.90 ERA) will start for the Mets, pitting him against Miles Mikolas (0-3, 8.49 ERA) for the Nationals.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Nationals game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's NY Mets vs Washington MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 64% chance of defeating the Nationals at Citi Field.
Mets vs Nationals: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.52, Nationals $2.59
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.08), Nationals +1.5 ($1.77)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.52 and the Nationals at $2.59.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Nationals, with odds of $2.08 available at TAB.
For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.77.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Nationals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Mets vs Nationals: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $1.52 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.08 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Mets vs Nationals predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Although the Nationals are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Mets vs Nationals: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the NY Mets vs Washington game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the NY Mets vs Washington game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Nationals: Essential Details
The match-up between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 3:10am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
- Date: Friday 1 May 2026
- Time: 3:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Washington predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.
