Mets vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 7 April 2023
Apr 5, 2023, 2:33PM
The New York Mets face the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citi Field on Friday, commencing at 3:10am AEST.
The Mets will send Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) to the mound, while the Marlins are going with Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA).
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Mets vs Marlins, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Mets vs Marlins
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's NY Mets-Miami MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 56% chance of winning against the Marlins at Citi Field.
More: Mets vs Marlins Simulated 10,000 Times
NY Mets vs Miami MLB Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.62, Marlins $2.40
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.35), Marlins +1.5 ($1.64)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Mets to win at $1.62 and the Marlins to win at $2.40.
The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.35 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.64.
The Over/Under for total runs scored has been set at 8 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8 runs has a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Mets vs Marlins MLB Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $2.40 with bet365 (3.6% edge)
- Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.64 with bet365 (62% probability)
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with bet365 (51% probability)
Stats Insider's Mets vs Marlins betting tips are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our preferred option because of the 3.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the bet365 odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Mets vs Marlins MLB Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of NY Mets vs Miami on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Miami game at Citi Field.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Mets vs Marlins MLB 2023
The match-up between the Mets and Marlins at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 3:10am AEST on Friday.
- Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday 7 April 2023
- Time: 3:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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