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Mets vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 10 April 2023

The New York Mets take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 3:40am AEST.

The Mets will send Carlos Carrasco (0-1, 11.25 ERA) to the mound, while the Marlins will counter with Braxton Garrett (0-0, 6.00 ERA).

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Mets vs Marlins, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.

Who will win? Mets vs Marlins

Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's NY Mets-Miami MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Marlins at Citi Field.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Mets vs Marlins

NY Mets vs Miami Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citi Field are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Mets $1.69, Marlins $2.25
  • Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.50), Marlins +1.5 ($1.59)
  • Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.87, Under $1.95

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Mets to win at $1.69 and the Marlins to win at $2.25.

The Mets are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.50 currently on offer at bet365.

For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.59.

The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 8 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $1.95.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Marlins (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8 runs has a 54% chance of going Over.

More: Predictions for Every MLB Game

Mets vs Marlins Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Miami at $2.25 with bet365 (4.4% edge) 🔥
  • Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.59 with bet365 (64% probability)
  • Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.87 with bet365 (54% probability)

When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.

Today's Mets vs Marlins best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our recommended option due to the 4.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Mets vs Marlins MLB Prediction

For more information, click or tap See Matchup.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of NY Mets vs Miami on Monday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live updates.

Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Miami match-up at Citi Field.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Mets vs Marlins MLB 2023

The game between the Mets and Marlins at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 3:40am AEST on Monday.

  • Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins
  • Date: Monday 10 April 2023
  • Time: 3:40am AEST
  • Venue: Citi Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

More About MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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