Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction and MLB Tips - 9 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 8, 2026, 8:09PM | Published: Apr 7, 2026, 9:30PM
The New York Mets will face the Arizona Diamondbacks in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 6:10am AEST.
David Peterson (0-1, 4.66 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Ryne Nelson (0-1, 5.79 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mets vs Diamondbacks game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's NY Mets vs Arizona MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 54% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks at Citi Field.
Mets vs Diamondbacks: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citi Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Mets $1.77, Diamondbacks $2.10
- Line: Mets -1.5 ($2.60), Diamondbacks +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Mets at $1.77 and the Diamondbacks at $2.10.
The Mets are 1.5-run favourites against the Diamondbacks, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Diamondbacks (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Mets vs Diamondbacks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Arizona at $2.10 with TAB
- Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Mets vs Diamondbacks best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Diamondbacks to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Mets vs Diamondbacks: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Mets vs Arizona game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Mets vs Arizona game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Mets vs Diamondbacks: Essential Details
The game between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 6:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Thursday 9 April 2026
- Time: 6:10am AEST
- Venue: Citi Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Mets vs Arizona predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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